What I'm wary of is that optimistic technologists are over extrapolating again: I see chatgpt (& similar) as this open-ended canvas that I can make things with. Other people can use this open-ended canvas to make things! Other people _will_ use this to make things!

Yes, there may be something different this time because the UI is just raw text. But so is a google search box.

Tim Wu's "The Master Switch" talks about how this isn't even limited to code. Same pattern of "open democratic exuberance leading to consolidation and oligopoly" happened for printing press, telegram, radio, television, the internet.

Expand full comment